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1、历史背景
自古以来单币挖矿，如果有较高apr，通常会引来大量资金fomo，争先涌入，然后推高矿币，进一步拉开项目上涨的帷幕。defi如此，gamefi也是如此。去年10月axs开通robin侧链重提，单币挖矿apr300%+，此后大量axs从交易所提现到robin链，axs也实现了一波翻倍涨幅。最近的，ape也开启质押挖矿，具体apr没去了解，但这波上涨也跟挖矿有莫大关系。
2、GMT的挖矿规则
现在我们来了解下GMT挖矿是啥玩意儿？
1、路线图已经进入倒计时，内部探子（百佬会家豪，跑鞋大户）提醒，大概10天内就会开挖。
2、GMT挖矿跟其他都不太一样，是要用30级的鞋子才能挖出来。
3、矿池每天大概可以挖出来80w枚GMT，市值50wu。产出是固定的，池子里的跑鞋越多，每个人分得的币子越少。未来随着用户的增加，还会开一个彩虹池，彩虹池要特殊鞋子跑，特殊鞋子的来源是燃烧5双鞋子产出。总排量还是80w枚，彩虹池占比60%，普通池子占比40%。相当于引导大家去内卷。不燃烧产出就减少图片。
3、预估挖矿APR
APR=当日收益/投入资产*365
GMT的apr取决于两个变量
当日收益=80wgmt/挖矿的数量，鞋子越少，每双鞋挖的越多
投入资产=每双鞋的价值*鞋子的总量
现在地板价30级鞋子大概300u，唯一的变量是到底有多少双30级鞋子，这里有几个参考数据：
1、7月份stpen最高日活70万
2、目前日活不足1w
假设有10w双30级鞋子，那么每双鞋子每天挖出来8个gmt，价值5u，300/5=60天回本
假设有5w双30级鞋子，那么每双鞋子每天挖出来16个gmt，价值10u，300/10=30天回本
假设有3w双30级鞋子，那么每双鞋子每天挖出来26,6个gmt，价值16.2u，300/16.2=18天回本
考虑到现在日活不足1w，很多人也不会在头矿期冲进去搞，因此前几天应该赚钱效应还是可以的
4、挖矿后续影响
mint30级鞋子：
从0到30级大概需要消耗是4.5SOL+240GMT+一部分GST。
4.5*32+240*0.62=300u 其中sol和gmt各需要150u左右，头矿的赚钱效应会吸引新人加入，有可能会发生消耗大于产出的情况。
stpen此举其实就是开了个新池子，大家又接近回到同一起跑线，矿也从GST变成GMT，差别是GMT是治理代币，背后是品牌效应也是投资人的权益，相对来说，庄家更有动力护盘GMT。而随着大量玩家的涌入，直接挖GMT收益下滑，STEPN可以借势开启彩虹池，需要燃烧鞋子才能到彩虹池挖，加速内卷，而随着内卷的进行，GST也逐渐消耗量增加。
我猜测Stpen团队的想法是通过GMT挖矿，形成高中低三个层次的矿池，低端用户挖GST，收益比之前高点，终端用户挖GMT，卷归卷，但是矿币比较稳，高端用户挖彩虹池GMT，燃烧5双鞋子爆彩虹鞋，高端池人少矿多爽YY，标题所说的或将迎来第二春就是这个意思。
5、GMT代币的流通量
目前流通的GMT总量大概7亿枚，4.2亿来自币安lanchpad，3.8亿来自于生态系统/财政部。除了GMT挖矿外，没有其他释放。仍处于私募未解锁的短暂真空阶段，然后二级市场的价格也出于一个相对底部，最低点0.53是比特币17000时候的价格，而且这轮反弹，也基本上没gmt啥事，所以安全垫也还行，可以考虑跌破0.53后止损。
6、操作机会
算了，没有机会，反正几个标的可以关注，风险和收益也是逐步增加的，GMT、GST、鞋子。
风险：
项目方摆烂，加息超预期大盘跌。
距离解锁还有半年，项目方已经赚了很多，从这个立场上来看，不一定有这个动力stpen连续2次relam割韭菜，现在骂名累累，可能压根没韭菜参与
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本文来自比推，文章链接:https://www.bitpush.news/articles/3159046转载需注明出处
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