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缠论解盘9.13：姨太熄火 币王发力
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当大部分人在9月8日前持续看空大饼的时候，大饼再现币王本色，几天内从18510拉升到今天来到22000上方。在9月9日大饼启动前19200附近的时候我在社群里明确提示，大饼30分钟强二买不能再做空，随后一波放量暴涨力度超出预期。当下已经拉升起来，追涨肯定不是理想选择。而以太随着快照时间越来越近，波动也会变得越来越大，合约交易谨防风险，务必做好止损不要硬扛。大饼的强势拉升有一部分原因就是因为场内聪明资金随着以太快照时间临近提前切换到低位大饼所造成。
今天大饼和以太均做出走势推演供参考，先看大饼：
大饼4小时图看反弹力度相当强势。直接从靠近前低点附近拉回到中枢，当下向下线段内部没有出现区间套背驰结构，需要警惕的是一旦向上线段终结极有可能会形成4小时二卖向下，因此对市场心存敬畏！
30分钟看，在9月8日出30分钟二买后暴力拉升，而且一直向上不断延伸。但随着价格不断抬高，多头力量需要缓一缓，一是高位以横代跌，二是回调清洗浮畴，蓄力后再上。从30分钟级别上看回调出三买的概率比较大。
下面为以太分析：
4小时级别看，价格已经拉升到中枢上方，中枢上方不追高这是纪律。当下虽不能确定4小时向上线段已经终结，因为最少要次级别30分钟出二卖才有概率终结。而当下MACD正在回抽零轴，是否能够站稳零轴很关键，回抽零抽的过程就是次级别30分钟在构造中枢，30分钟级别走势显得非常重要。
从30分钟图上可以清晰看到1789是背驰一卖，因此引发向下回调，以中枢为坐标，中枢震荡战法应对。从回调力度看还是有点大，注意红色走势。
短线5分钟明显看出来的走的三级跳下降走势，极大概率会出三卖向下。而且向下是非背驰下跌。如果出三卖需要注意三卖之后买卖点转换关系。
来源：金色财经 |
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