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开贴讨论罗马尼亚这场比赛，就当长夜漫漫胡侃乱聊了！
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粗略的看了一下这场比赛的盘口和基本资料，因为友谊赛基本不碰，这里有点初步的想法，这里就抛砖引玉了！+ R# M8 I* ]5 R( y2 D
/ ?8 T: l. E2 S8 W4 f从友谊赛的情况来看，虽然两队的成绩都很烂，但是罗马尼亚比洪都拉斯更烂，虽然罗马尼亚的国际排名要高于洪都拉斯很多，但是对友谊赛来说，这个排名并不能证明什么，国足不刚刚赢了法兰西吗？ K/ M6 A E" I/ E
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看看盘口' [# h- }3 ^& S
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1 s. H5 }- |& B+ I澳门初盘就是半球盘，立博初盘是半球，后来降到平半盘，其他公司基本都是初盘半球，后来降盘到平半盘。
5 I2 h: Q# T) h3 d降盘的意图无非就是不看好上盘或者是诱下盘
K3 l- @; w3 {* ]: W& G5 p分开来说：7 U8 I4 i$ t6 O5 a+ z. H
1.不看好上盘) b3 `" r. y2 l; j ]7 a6 i
判断庄家是不是真的不看好上盘，可以从大众心理来入手，两队的状态都很烂，但是罗马尼亚更烂，即使实力和排名都强于客队，在大众心理上来说上下盘的筹码差别应该不会太大，这种情况下，庄家如果真的是不看好上盘，降盘的情况下，一定会将部分筹码赶往下盘。那么我真的不看好上盘，我把筹码赶到下盘做什么？8 T5 J* p2 b, H& P( v
2.诱下盘# h% I; y S3 j
诱下盘，也就是说实际上是看好上盘的，这种情况下如上述第一点所说，筹码会倾向于下盘，达到了诱的目的。
' N* j) m/ f9 B$ f: q
1 ^$ \9 V! A5 c5 `" J经过上述分析，判断庄家是在诱下盘。
/ _9 S! d7 p1 _这里还有一个特殊就是澳门，目前还维持在半球盘不动。后续观察吧！* n- Y" f( V3 m* m; z ~; t
- w; n+ z7 W+ d5 G2 s, m以上纯属个人观点，欢迎大家拍砖！ |
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个人看好洪都拉斯,洪都拉斯希望世界杯前开个门红,而罗马尼亚没有欲望 |
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[b]回复 [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148043&ptid=58999]2#[/url] [i]dodoken2[/i] [/b]& ]+ {/ y; { r0 v! Y3 t# B8 v
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还有5天就开幕了，也许保存实力避免受伤是球队的一种选择！ |
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其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
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我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘 |
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[quote]其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
+ ~8 S$ r9 t+ V2 w. W% z* g4 U2 B' ^* ?, X- }
我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘
- E0 U/ `; R. O; p[size=2][color=#999999]dodoken2 发表于 2010-6-6 00:28[/color] [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148064&ptid=58999]http://www.tcelue.com/images/common/back.gif[/url][/size][/quote]( Q; G! A5 \' Q- A
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" a2 B( C( D& ?+ j t% z' X/ I 欧赔比较弱，可不可以理解为欧赔的胜和平在降也是一种诱？ |
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