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[lastpost] => 2788566 亚洲早间简报：美联储降息影响不大，比特币等待日本动向（转） 1765522947 德罗星
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；
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3 }" S! I; \2 |/ m5 |% F' K据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元
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4 T* i7 v/ U/ K8 b1 p( ^* e) n$ L“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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0 e4 l4 [+ T8 K$ j8 u就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；
* ?( H# Y" _! f" d" f
7 f7 F2 y1 A/ y0 u6 v% o需求上升与风险# A6 l( c Z. h8 i1 a. l7 Q
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。- F% P0 |7 l2 z; x
3 c# R) _- }; l2 r$ S3 L* M' E4 ^
从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；; Q! S7 a2 m& Z
: Q. ^" ~6 W, n% q0 T4 i+ r8 A事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。
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5 E7 b& P4 X& a1 D7 F0 s* q在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
/ K" B. p3 n& F# {6 _0 b# E0 ^; o" ?, w/ D% G0 q
因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；
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3 I$ d8 D4 V4 A' D# S1 T但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ； I9 `! I5 O; g" b! X
+ A3 N9 Q) D* D6 e7 z/ o5 I对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。* ~+ d0 d0 p5 i9 ]( Y
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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+ R5 m! Y4 _7 q$ X" r然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。/ t! X' E4 J* [ R' @3 q7 }) D8 J
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；
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与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）$ t2 {; j* D9 V+ N+ l! }+ M/ {7 ?
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