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9.林迪效应
2 u2 ?2 X9 Y- W( p持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。+ v; ~: F# k. a+ [& [+ ~
' c+ p. }7 h" F: ~
DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。, ^, f. |" d# m" F
, ~8 e( D; ?' I# R1 l: {0 J10.自我保护原则。
& o# d3 D% _ J& I& I ^: v
3 q3 }8 [' c4 _2 M痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。" z+ z; ^- G5 H% }0 V( f [
- k+ M0 D( Q# O; T9 Q当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。( E5 v. s1 ?/ z! P$ k
2 G% A3 ]/ \/ p t" s
10.抓住重点原则" G! ]- z3 I7 o ]% \1 l# G+ v
重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
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• 视频网站为内容而战。
: f" {8 N* b, e# q6 C: g0 O, D( K6 A7 O0 ?, F% d; n
• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。6 F7 X, X5 [7 ?7 e0 k$ Z
9 Q2 A T0 _ x3 T. H% w' B9 R5 jCRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？
! }6 n" x& \5 w& {. `8 e/ g, m1 {+ B3 B. ]! \2 D
11.二阶效果原则。
: ~& b" ?1 ^0 g o% A: C9 J0 k% I" b( O每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。
" l* B; |6 S A3 V0 u# E- z7 h# M- k1 P! L# N& H$ ?9 Y+ d
多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。4 {8 u. d, U4 T" [7 k6 y2 u6 \
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但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。
9 ]( Q/ }9 z% a% U, d5 P: A
! k5 d- k4 o$ i" ^' d% K( R. H& Y4 U警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。& u. l7 ?. f9 b
/ c% m8 H4 _2 T1 O& Z12.冲浪原则1 D) ^ n& ]& U2 Y% ~
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。
6 v. f7 c' C# _, y
# H- e% m1 j& Q! U0 u# @' x及早识别和利用趋势：3 y- X. [! j# D; | y" \. I
3 q8 w9 `- V$ d) m; k* @( b* H
• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。1 y- F9 ~; ]! _# p
9 k- D, Z w: K• Netflix 转向流媒体。
& ^9 G0 B U9 j: k, Y' {4 @6 d2 I7 `* _ U1 C7 ?/ i9 i0 C" A: M
在加密货币中：
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# [- j9 p- ^4 H8 ]7 h• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）) T% z) n0 K/ A8 D& v8 m) C
& ?5 D/ B1 J# Z0 }- k7 u
• 投资（顺势而为）
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% j, ~) O% f6 t) c ?% U• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）8 S W+ K8 l1 L- D2 S- _
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13.先行者和后行者优势9 S' c7 x5 A& p6 i: N
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。
! T) r: ]7 u; g, y7 n6 A& \0 \. v k, Z' x1 @3 B% v
要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。; `2 P5 B. b/ d, \
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而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
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8 i. H+ Z& Q; h3 q T5 x
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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