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比特币 (BTC) 突破 20,000 美元 – 牛市反转开始了吗？
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比特币（BTC）可能已经开始看涨逆转，周五大幅上涨。持续增长的形式对于确认这种可能性至关重要。
自 9 月 7 日在 19,000 美元的水平支撑区域反弹以来，BTC 一直在上涨，在每日RSI中出现看涨背离（绿线）之前。
9 月 9 日上涨加速，价格现已达到 20,800 美元的高位。目前，比特币面临 21,113 美元的阻力，这是由 0.382 斐波拉契回撤阻力位和前一个上升平行通道的支撑线形成的。此外，日图 RSI 在 50 处面临阻力。
恢复这一水平将在很大程度上表明看涨趋势逆转已经开始。
未来运动
六小时图显示，比特币已突破下降阻力线，随后将其验证为支撑（绿色图标）。
目前，它的交易价格略低于水平和斐波那契阻力位 21,100 美元。
自 8 月 15 日以来，6 小时 RSI 首次突破 50（绿色图标）。因此，比特币很可能最终会突破这两个阻力位。
BTC波数分析
自 8 月 13 日的高点以来，BTC 已经完成了五波下行运动（红色），最终在 9 月 7 日的低点 18,540 美元结束。
从那时起，价格一直在上涨，这可能是一个 ABC 修正结构。如果是这样，它目前处于 A 浪中。向上运动将继续朝着 0.5-0.618 斐波拉契回撤阻力位 21,900 美元至 22,700 美元。
在这种可能性下，价格将在完成当前反弹后恢复下行。
另一种可能性表明，比特币已经开始了新的看涨冲动，现在处于看涨冲动的第一波中。
在这种可能性下，价格将突破 21,900 美元至 22,700 美元的阻力位并迈向新高。
波数表明，BTC 处于下跌趋势的第五波也是最后一波（白色），始于 11 月的历史最高价格。
如果先前概述的看涨计数是正确的（红色），则第五波被截断，BTC 已经开始看涨趋势逆转。
如果不是这样，之前的下跌只是五波下行运动中的一波（黑色），BTC 将继续上涨至 15,420 美元或 12,770 美元。目标是使用第四波（白色）的 1.27 和 1.61 外部斐波拉契回撤水平找到的。
持续反弹的形状对于确定向前移动的正确计数至关重要。
来源：金色财经 |
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