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美元昨日攀升，盘中一度再刷新二十年高位至110.57，美国上月非制造业活动指数从7月的56.7小幅升至56.9，这是经历了三个月下降后连续第二个月上升，强化了美国没有陷入衰退的观点，金价从盘中稍早触及的一周高位回落，受主要央行将激进收紧货币政策的预期推动，美元和美债收益率攀升。本周的焦点将是周四的欧洲央行会议，预计该央行将加息75个基点。
非美货币、大宗商品及币圈受美指影响基本全线下跌。大饼也是打破了近两周的窄幅震荡区间，下破19500的支撑位，低点18600附近。
大饼近期走势从日线上看基本都是震荡下跌走势，且每次下得反弹高点也基本符合道氏顶底转换理论。日线布林线开口向下，KDJ死叉向下，MACD能量柱放量，空头占优。
昨天还有个事情就是ETH升级的消息，白天随着消息面的发酵确实涨了一些，到了晚上就来了个反杀。其实也容易理解，当一个消息所有人都知道的时候，你觉得狗庄会眼睁睁地看着你们赚钱吗？你看到的东西只是别人想让你看到的。
不出消息面韭菜怎么进场呢，所以，还是之前讲过的，你以为是机会的时候一定要保持头脑清醒，别人可能在磨镰刀！
现货方面不收影响的，没进场的可以进一些，20000附近进场的朋友如果有仓位的可以适当补仓，做好长期打算，大饼未来还是可期的。
合约方面上方参考19500及20300-25000的压力，下方关注日线布林线下轨18600的支撑，以及前期低点17500。操作上日内反弹空单为主，如果跌破18600创新低还是大概率的，做好心理准备。
具体操作建议
19500附近空单，若反弹20000附近补仓一次空单，止损20500，目标18600下破看17500
在行情没有走出来之前任何一种分析都是对的，而且都有对的理由，但是任何一个单子都不会绝对的准确，都有风险性，所以赚钱的前提一定是做好风控。行情实时变化，策略点位仅做参考，不作为入场依据，投资有风险，盈亏自负。
1小时线，布林带开口向下，MACD红色量柱放量，KDJ和RSI均开口向下，行情自昨晚承压回落后连续跌破中轨和下轨支撑，4小时线，布林带开口，MACD红色量柱放量，KDJ和RSI均开口向下，行情反抽跌破中轨支撑，有继续向下轨运行的趋势，下方关注1500附近的支撑，上方则关注1550附近的压制。
日线方面：布林带缩口，MACD红色量柱放量，KDI和RSI均拐头向下，昨天行情收阳，今天行情从高点下挫，跌破中轨支撑，今天若收大阴线，那么将会把前面上行的势头跌破，周线方面，行情反弹中轨承压下跌，有可能形成新的一轮回踩，下方仍可关注1400附近的支撑。今天操作上长路建议反弹仍做空为主，行情一轮回踩后，将有震荡整理的需求，做单一定带好止损。
操作建议：反弹1555-1580附近空单进场，止损1610，止盈1500-1480.
提醒：策略仅供参考，操作带好止损止盈，止盈目标做好分批止盈以及移动止损，在保住利润的同时避免过多获利回吐。
来源：金色财经 |
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