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[lastpost] => 2750219 【星宝】7月18日投注流水2100元 1752905302 rainwang
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小分3种情况:' \) Z5 a8 O8 T1 G7 E$ f
3 T# V4 {5 ]$ ~3 f3 j- h7 I1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。& W$ j6 S9 @/ t6 q6 u
% M5 y3 b/ g6 G
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。* Z1 n1 K( W. H! h$ w
6 `) U; n$ w4 R0 G" ?
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
/ f0 C( m9 e! [8 M& I0 v: f7 p6 W2 N! ^- w$ S K' d3 e$ z
2张牌8或9点的情况有:; f% ]& _5 v! g3 }# p8 V P+ j
+ J1 E6 f' w1 p6 V
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10! E' N7 R! p6 A; `1 C! n
; \& z* W' ]8 N* ]0 f1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
0 M# R- f# u3 h: Y7 l0 ]1 w5 H$ A) m/ B8 l3 a1 o o& `) D$ |! |9 E
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
1 z$ l7 N4 f5 H9 b1 w/ `
6 z) T/ q" w5 }8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
& X' h( }& ]0 o8 I! T: `/ p
7 z% h# T4 Y; ?( l由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。6 n" y" Y, x$ s$ p4 a; m
9 L1 |2 U# h b通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
1 Y$ k% y2 }/ m- `5 {7 l* G
; g8 J( U* r r" O9 A那么我们可以得出# m1 U( l! I! U3 Y
2 Q- K; S1 I: Z3 x {6 M, q" F
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
t9 r5 ~. |: N+ k. E
- P. [& n; c; \* K2 e, `5 x2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
6 r8 |' l1 K% |# `" B0 E% D' o1 M3 N, L
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
" o/ w- J W5 b: l* w c1 v
+ F! Q1 j. Y) l6 C% L& y" _所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693237 W# O, {/ J) ^
" ]" g! h0 U( d% D$ `8 I( i; {
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
7 t( O3 ^* `! e |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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