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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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$ k. `7 K- N' y" X 7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，4 H+ X6 | H8 r! @6 [9 l! c/ A
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' m3 \, h" t/ q7 p1 c稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的/ j; B5 o( G6 v0 Z: ]$ G
& O# S: I2 A0 p0 w9 k% F: k必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。7 i" c( B8 |$ E2 E
% q! }2 D% i% ]! Q 他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一
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& t8 p$ c& D6 F是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留
, Z4 [+ V) Q& l3 Y$ Q+ ^! Z& c% |# U& G4 ]" _+ R% B1 H
发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。
5 F I( A' X4 w( q& e6 G7 V9 e$ u% C1 B1 R6 G" X
杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、 N5 T9 k, k. V7 V0 h/ V) P
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包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，
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( A) l: Q3 W/ ]& R也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。# q7 f. v9 ], t
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关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则1 ^, G$ _+ P5 o" n* i* y
( u, \& \6 L5 ?% Q可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下' I) ]6 P+ {: x$ J7 t# q
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一个代币化的全球金融体系。
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在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定
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币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新6 w3 z# ?' W4 m# Y6 W& m5 J
2 x! Q2 g+ a E) O! @之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。
! H* S3 |# b( t! \3 j! a* D
) v7 Z8 ~+ C8 n" ^) g8 a0 b 人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就 ~ w, [+ V( n/ @# V5 d& K: v
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。3 T5 y6 U" ~; ?& `1 l! k
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