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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。; b3 F- n: `, t/ T* I4 v+ m
美元抛售推高比特币" [* K/ l, ^$ G0 b& _1 ]6 r
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以3 Z' Q) t$ B$ y1 i- k6 ~
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来的最低水平。2 d! I' R0 w6 q: x3 b! X
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”" E# W+ X$ `0 {$ U
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@7 A8 w2 b& S根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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' E7 D r' z! z" v( pAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。7 U- Y4 g. x% u+ a
- E3 f$ v$ r2 `4 G下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化2 S# |5 n0 h) ?. D. K. ?% E0 D, `
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剂。
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: m% z1 T# W ?! z% c这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。5 J8 F. X) m' y
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破; K! g& z9 u( `" S8 x
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了8.7万美元。: V, a! C' x2 D2 @' ]0 J% C; u
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，& O# V0 B9 I8 ^0 h; z. ]
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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E5 g! ]% C i1 |- T$ T+ q“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”+ p# a" E7 s: U# p {
1 W- g4 j: I: w1 R8 I0 P3 eCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。4 `6 p. ~" W% h c
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