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[lastpost] => 2773661 在Polymarket上用套利闷声发财的人（转） 1760452377 jackcool1011
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当前离线
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许多新人在刺客付费群里，看着别人趋势单子赚了百分之几千，于是自己模仿着拉满，确一会就爆仓了。
: m7 g) L( a: F$ J大多数博主都叫小白不要玩合约，其实就是叫你不要挑战人性。 - O1 s# F$ v) ]4 z; I/ G u/ i. ^. I
之前在知乎看到一些帖子，币圈前辈分享玩合约血泪史，都是劝人不要玩的，还有去年年末的重磅新闻“炒比特币亏2000万，男子携妻女跳海自杀”的新闻，当时还不能理解为什么会这么严重，玩合约为什么会有这么严重的后果？
/ p6 g1 g; F5 \+ f/ T$ K+ @什么是币圈市场的合约？ # s+ e! g8 b1 |! K
% n: H1 ~5 E) C7 M# K2 m通俗一点理解，就是不一定持有币，通过预测价格涨跌获得收益。比如预测价格会涨就做多，预测价格会跌就做空，设置不同的倍数，以期获得更多倍收入，同时也要承担更多倍的风险。
]; L. M9 @- ?比如做了100倍杠杆，比特币涨了1%，那就可以获得100倍收益，同理如果预测失误，下跌了1%就会损失100倍。 0 @: F' S% T- z
在价格涨跌幅度波动巨大的比特币市场，合约杠杆可以让人快速获得高倍收益，也会让人一夜之前倾家荡产，就像那个一夜亏掉2000万，破产跳江的中年人。
# q' c9 a: O' h( ~6 X+ X$ w! e0 I5 M. Y
盈利了又想继续追高，想获得更多利润；亏了又想投入更多保证金博回来，于是雪球越滚越大，到最后承受不了，直接爆单。 ; \; q( s) D/ x* H* u# E4 }' O
/ K' F( E0 n w' ]7 H. A; f短时间获得巨大收益，也可能短时间快速亏掉所有资产。
; D ?, k& C) G; h; I' c赌徒心里在价格巨大涨跌下被激发出来，谁都无法在利润刺激面前保持理性，说好的止盈止亏，说好的按照既定数据比例操作，都在激动的心里震荡期间，统统忘记掉。 9 p( x; u7 F; ~# a9 v
为什么大多数人说爆仓即止损，刺客假如有1000U开合约，现在亏了800U了，你说我是止损好还是扛着好呢？止损就是亏了800U，等他还有可能不爆仓，回调我就赚了。 _! G' L& O5 B1 M' f
所以止损是很多人不能办到的事情。
& Z$ o% P1 S# R+ w' i1 X2 g; Y
7 ~$ H& O) g2 f: u' L) H: I4 @
这张图怎么看呢？就是我开的TRX的空单，在0.07611的价格开空，现在的价格在0.07537U，10倍杠杆，我用了11008U成本。 7 |0 N' o. y' o/ q* ?: B
差点爆仓的情况下，刺客一直在加保证金。
6 L$ [1 R/ i( N ~" A所以不建议新手玩合约，如果你真的要玩，建议只开3-5倍杠杆，比如你有1000U的本金，你只开100U。
( w) h+ ]1 X* X7 Z5 u9 e这样才有机会试错，不会爆仓。 % ~: F, M4 K% M4 X
不要一直开仓，找机会，看好几个币子，别乱去开山寨币，比如有行情的时候在开，今天FIL拉了18%，你找机会进去开多开空都能有点利润。
# k1 e$ N& A( y$ H珍惜生命，远离合约。
- c: d- c; S1 J3 d# y' Q |
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股票我都不敢炒了，何况炒币呢，太冒险了，没钱人再玩它就是找死。 |
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