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数据解析：NFT 市场加速下跌 是否进入抄底时刻？
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Echoo Research 第 34 周报告（8.15-8.21） 来源：Echoo Research 本周市场趋势
Weekly NFT Market Volume (Source: echoo.substack.com) 本周 NFT 交易量较上周大幅下跌，交易量占比最大的 OpenSea 目前的交易量相比于「牛市巅峰」，已经不足其 10%。 从较大的时间跨度上来看，整个 NFT 市场的总交易量依然徘徊在较低区间，并没有强势反弹的迹象。自今年 5 月以来，这样的趋势已经持续了 14 周，我们仍然在等待更强烈的反弹信号出现。 
Weekly NFT Market Traders (Source: echoo.substack.com) 本周参与交易的人数大幅下跌，甚至打破了我们之前几周提到的“波动规律”，在趋势维持了 10 周以后，市场并未好转，大部分人选择“减少交易”的策略。 目前交易者的数据（Buyers、Sellers）处于历史区间的低位，其中卖出者人数略大于买入者人数，这说明：人们对 NFT 市场的参与度越来越低的同时，在意愿更偏向偏于「卖出」。 
Blue Chip Index (Source: echoo.substack.com) 蓝筹 NFT 指数已经连续 5 周下跌，这意味着头部区间的 NFT 正在流出更多的资金，这对于 NFT 市场的整体稳定性造成了影响，目前蓝筹指数已经接近今年最低值，是否会跌破最低值，这是接下来我们必须要关注的事情。 
Weekly Trend On The Net Value Of Whale Capital (Source: echoo.substack.com) 在本周，巨鲸净流入资金较上周减少了流出的幅度，但仍为负值。 通过前几周的跟踪，我们发现巨鲸的行为相比于 NFT 市场具有提前性，在目前市场整体交易量萎靡时，巨鲸的整体流动资金规模较低，这代表了巨鲸更倾向于小资金规模参与 NFT 投资。 NFT 市场受到巨鲸的影响很微弱，更多的是散户在主导交易。 独家指标1.巨鲸上周抄底的 NFT下表为巨鲸的买入前 20 名 NFT，详细的购入数量及平均成本如下： 
NFTs Bought By Whales In The 34th Week 2.蓝筹的 NFT 买卖信号本期 Research 为大家提供的指标是蓝筹的 NFT 买卖信号，NFTGo Research 首先选取了经典的 RSI 和 SMA 指标进行测试转化，对于买卖行为具有一定的参考性。 
Buy-Sell Signals Of Blue Chip NFTs In The 34th Week 本周绝大部分蓝筹价格触发了买入信号，想要低价买入蓝筹 NFT 的人可以留意最近的价格，也许会有不错的机会。 指标说明 RSI Strategy：根据 RSI 的买卖相对强弱的特性而设计的买卖信号。 简单使用方法：在波动区间下方为买入信号，在波动区间上方为卖出信号，偏离度越大信号越强烈。 3.蓝筹集合的 SMA 趋势近期蓝筹 NFT 的走势仍为下行趋势，并且有连续下跌的可能。 
SMA Trend Of Blue Chip NFTs In The 34th Week 指标说明 该指标综合了蓝筹 NFT 的市值，运用均线进行计算，用来反映 NFT 大盘的趋势。 SMA：反映短周期于长周期的趋势。 简单使用方法：短周期线从下方穿过长周期线时为买入信号，短周期线从上方穿过长周期线时为卖出信号。 来源：金色财经 |
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