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ETH8月20日日内行情分析
复盘一下凌晨走势，其实这次下跌和之前的涨幅情绪是一样的，币价不做缺口及指标上的修复就做单边的放量，凌晨前期的反弹情绪可以说是只有鸡毛力度，后续币价便在凌晨4点开始发力下跌，这里从h级别上是可以看出币价超跌破位BOLL下轨的，后续早晨八点接修复性反弹。就这轮破位下跌情绪来说短线的空头情绪基本上是呈碾压之态势，不过在参考日线和12小时级别线，当前这两个级别线币价均出现了大幅缺口，这个缺口幅度是大于昨天的，自然补回概率也是随之增加的（近期抓反趋势的反弹或回踩其实难度比较大的，因为单边行情走势比较透彻，反转修复行情的力度不强，这也会导致短线交易难度直线增加）。
日线级别来看，当前KDJ和MACD死叉持续空头放量，BOLL中短线币价是跌至中下轨区域内的，但当前BOLL下轨并未出现明显的开口情况；主图中在MA5和MA10日均线的下跌压迫下，币价也是跌破了MA30，本周末两天来看，其币价能否企稳在MA30日均线下方会直接影响下周整体走势的方向哈。
对于日内短线而言，当前币价与MA5产生了大幅缺口，这里还是先做反弹修复的参考（注意这里的反弹概率对比凌晨和昨日是大幅增加了，因为凌晨4点的下跌是完成了短线筑底，并超跌了BOLL及KDJ，所以今天日内基本就是走反弹修复了哈）。
12小时级别来看，当前MACD虽然还是持续做跌，但KDJ出现超卖信号、BOLL短线也是存在破位的情况（这里BOLL下轨下跌幅度小于了币价的下跌幅度）；主图中MA5和MA10强烈走弱，MA30日均线高位小幅拐头下行，当然这对于12小时线来说都是不利的信号，最后对于短线来说币价与MA5存在的缺口也是会决定今天日内币价大概率走缺口修复性反弹的。
还有一个值得强调的就是以太和比特币当前TD都为红色TD9的滞后，后续顺位计算在晚间八点出现TD13，后续是在早晨八点走TD13的技术性反弹（因为当前指标是破位了，所欲反弹情绪可能会提前，不一定会等到TD13出现及站稳才发力哈）。
4小时级别来看，KDJ低位已经没有什么下跌空间了（理论超卖价格区域了），BOLL和MACD还是做单边的持续性开口放量下行，但超短线空间是受到了局限的；主图中MA三日各均线空头强势排列下跌，其实这也可以看出凌晨币价为什么没有什么反弹力度的原因了，均线压制太强，导致了凌晨币价先急跌后接破位修复性反弹。
另外从TD来看，比特币已经TD9站稳了，以太目前是TD8，再结合12小时和日线级别的参考，日内无论如何即使再跌力度也不强了，所以日内继续坚持先看反弹（注意今天看反弹的力度和概率都是大于凌晨和昨日下午期间的哈）。
总结：个人预计日内币价整体走势将会走破位修复性反弹为主，上方高点短线压力位参考在1683-1756区域附近即可。
对于日内来说的话暂时先看到这里，因为周末波动情绪也不会太强，后续的思路就等到12小时级别的更新看其均线和TD、量能的提示再做分析上的更新哈，具体会在21日凌晨的分析中衔接更新分析哦，大家注意关注。
以上为个人日内行情分析，仅供大家参考。
来源：金色财经 |
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