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币圈叶秋：单边下跌之势反弹2000点是见底还是修复 8 c" U. K' u0 f7 [
2 T/ D A3 F- j+ S. Z9 d- J% S 金色财经报道，摩根大通经济学家Michael Feroli认为，通胀飙升将推动美联储将利率提高75个基点，100个基点也是可能的。Feroli在周一的一份报告中告诉客户，长期通胀预期的惊人上升可能会推动美联储在周三将利率提高75个基点甚至100个基点，我认为这是一个不小的风险。 高盛分析师也同意Feroli的观点，认为加息75个基点可能会在FOMC会议上宣布。高盛经济学家周一解释说，我们的美联储预测正在修订，包括在 6月和7月加息75个基点。 高盛分析师在给投资者的报告中补充道：我们预计2023年将再加息两次至3.75-4%，然后在2024年下调一次至3.5-3.75%。我们预计9月将增加50个基点，随后11月和12月将增加25个基点，最终利率将保持在3.25-3.5%不变。我们预计到2022年底，中位点将显示3.25-3.5%。 H5 A, P! V2 m4 A
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一路单边下跌，虽然中途受MG走势影响有一定的反弹现象，但最终还是空头不止，早间最低触及20800一线，昨天没有更多的时间更新，叶秋自己需要做单，跟随的老铁也要亲自ZD，今天空闲更新一下； $ k6 U; F8 ^! F4 z* J+ O+ \. E
3 P- f* C( c" u! ]' E% q2 _ 今天主要节奏点，注意以下几点；
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8 O3 u8 p; A4 X6 V! s! E* k 1：周线，日线连阴破位，大饼失守27000一线，以太失守1400，结合以太公链清算事件，导致市场踩踏现象，一路做空者迎来非常可观的收获；市场不可能持续一直无脑下跌，中途总会有一些反弹拉升的现象，早间到现在大饼拉升2000多点，到达关键的关口，空头回吐现象逐步会展开，以太1070一线反弹近200点。双双拉升突破4小时级别均线，打破原本的下跌空间，或将展开有效的区间震荡。从排列上来看4小时级别均承压于5，10日均线进行震仓单边下跌，今日更需要留意的即10日均线所带来的压力； ; t- L- x) M6 m1 V: B
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2：就目前4小时级别来看，下影线较长，虽然是阴线换线，下影线过长，在某种程度上已经打破了原来的单边下行力量，更多的体现了市场空头抛盘减持的现象，对于阴锤头线来说，出现在相对支撑底部出现长下影线锤头线，那么在短线中将是一个见底信号，但是，对于大周期空头排列的趋势中，短线只能作为短线中交易参考。所以大饼关注20000关口，以太关注1000关口。基本面清算正处于1000至1400区间；市场也会有更多买入的现象（现货）
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; y8 l, _3 Y o& O+ f" j: i 3：今天的日线换线，叶秋会特别留意，日线若收取十字阳线，或小阴线，后续的走势中或将出现阶段性支撑效应，这只是一个预测，实际k线换线如何，后续揭晓，所以可以考虑极少量仓位进行逢低买入尝试；失守19700出局； 7 w0 _" {4 L+ |& r0 x+ \, }
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, w) y+ J& S2 T8 y 今日操作如下：
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- l3 \1 F- \% b1 N5 v 1：短线22200附近做多，仅限短线上看23000-23500.今日23000-23500触及可以进一步做空，看二次下探。若4小时收线不能站稳22800上方，后续将进一步走震荡下探过程 ( R* N4 }4 w. g, l' f- {3 z$ ~2 y4 }8 B
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2：以太留意1280-1300一线，触及做空，1160附近做多，今日站稳1150附近，将会从形态上拉升至1350-1380一线；所以日内1380上下15美金做空比较稳健；
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以上分享仅供参考，严格轻仓带损操作，变盘另行通知；喜欢的朋友点个关注，及时更新早知道，加油！
9 V' n" `+ K. ?2 \2 I/ f' M来源：金色财经 |
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