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[虚拟币交流]
渣打看涨比特币：年底将冲至15万美元 特朗普胜利是积极因素（转）
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渣打银行对于比特币的态度有了180度的转弯。此前还在警告比特币价格
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可能跌至5万美元区间，但最新报告却以市场情绪改善为由，修改了其预测，, M' T' ?4 W5 ]$ h& K K
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预计年底可达15万美元。( R. O& J2 u. S5 w' ^9 [
渣打银行外汇研究和数字资产研究主管Geoff Kendrick认为，若特朗普在11月的美
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( s$ E9 y/ T+ O& Z; P国总统大选中获胜，那对比特币而言是积极的，特朗普的第二个任期将为加密货币
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创造一个有利的监管环境。
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+ y! l3 h' t1 T特朗普最初在担任总统期间是反对加密货币的。然而，自卸任以来，他已经推出了8 Z) z% q) b% X9 N% q5 T2 r3 z
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几个代币（NFT）。而上个月，他承认了比特币正广受欢迎，将比特币描述为“一种
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5 L' c) I/ e" _% @" `, _& M7 ?额外的货币形式”，并指出这种加密货币已经获得了认可。
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, o, U: e- }: T& D( \0 M0 {年底目标15万美元8 X N! f0 s+ B: L
& m* _0 |5 c" m* `其实本月早些时候，Geoff Kendrick领导的渣打银行分析团队还警告称， [近期比特币) @( [( A# }* a
& a1 D; U& k7 S6 u的价格可能会进一步跌至5万美元]https://www.cls.cn/detail/1666381) ，原因是加密
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货币的特定因素和更广泛的宏观经济影响。7 B. N0 W1 F, x
* I+ g6 R6 c9 W- }3 O不过，Kendrick在美联储上周三的表态不及预期那般鹰派、且上周五美国强劲就业报告. d% ^; I$ c2 G. q7 H
' ?( h; _6 F: J- K公布后，修正了自己的预估。
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Kendrick在最新报告中写道，比特币将从近期低点56500美元反弹，比特币年底的目标为
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9 b, B$ N) Y! e1 I* j5 T3 q/ ]& X15万美元，2025年底为20万美元。& Q& B. K8 a# B
0 [! p$ i c; H除了特朗普可能当选带来的积极因素外，Kendrick还强调了对美国ZF债务和赤字可持续 O0 A; ?( T# D6 Q. }) g; d
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性的担忧，他称，“美国ZF的债务和赤字似乎正走在一条不可持续的道路上。” j* @1 ^2 I6 t0 o
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这可能会导致美国国债收益率曲线变得更陡峭，期限溢价上升。“我们认为，随着投资者寻
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4 Y9 \1 g9 N4 o0 T求另类资产，这种情况将更广泛地支持数字资产。”, v, y% y1 j8 H- Y; m
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