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NEAR 的价格表现作为“Coinbase 效应”的案例研究
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8 月 10 日,全球领先的交易所之一Coinbase宣布将NEAR纳入其上市路线图。这表明山寨币现在是交易所计划在其平台上提供的资产之一。
在上述公告之后,NEAR 在图表上迅速上涨,盘中上涨了 12%。它甚至在 6 美元的高位交易,在发稿时以 5.89 美元易手。
现在,在 Coinbase 上列出加密货币通常会导致价格上涨。但是,潜在的上市是否具有类似的效果?
Coinbase 效应是神话吗?
自上述公告以来,NEAR 的价格仅上涨了 6%。7 月,总体市场看涨回撤导致 alt 升值 28%。在宣布之前,NEAR 已经上涨了 25%。围绕 Coinbase 打算上市代币的嗡嗡声的续集,alt 的价格在盘中交易中上涨了 12%。
然而,截至发稿时,NEAR 的价格为 5.89 美元,已回落至公告前的区间。
此外,在 8 月 11 日,NEAR 出现了大量交易活动。由于 Coinbase 的公告,该网络的日内交易量在上述日期飙升至 8.47 亿的高位。
然而,在交易日收盘前,交易活动开始减弱。在撰写本文时,网络上的交易量为 2.4456 亿,仅四天就下降了 200% 以上。

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NEAR 可能不是问题
在评估在 Coinbase 上的潜在上市是否有助于推高硬币价格时,有必要查看 Ooki Protocol 的 OOKI。它还于8 月 12 日被添加到交易所的上市路线图中。公告发布后,交易价格高达 0.0087 美元,盘中上涨 29%。
截至发稿时,山寨币的交易价格为 0.007658 美元,自上述日期以来已下跌 11% 。此外,山寨币的交易量在过去两天取得了显着进步。即便如此,它很快就开始在排行榜上消失。

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在 2021 年题为“分析加密交换泵现象”的报告中,Messari 的 Roberto Talamas 分析了一些代币在 Coinbase 上市的前五天内的表现。Talamas 发现,当代币在 Coinbase 上市时,它们在上市的前五天平均价格增长了 91%。
然而,他得出的结论是,
“Coinbase 上市有可能对资产回报产生积极影响,它不会以同样的方式影响所有代币。”
当 NEAR 上市时,预计价格上涨将是短暂的。就像之前在交易所上市的代币一样,预计上市几天后价格会下跌。
在加密行业你想抓住下一波牛市机会你得有一个优质圈子,大家就能抱团取暖,保持洞察力。如果只是你一个人,四顾茫然,发现一个人都没有,想在这个行业里面坚持下来其实是很难的。
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来源:金色财经 |
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