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楚悦辰：9.9比特币一潭死水耐心静待突破
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周四凌晨，美联储公布了由旧金山联储编制的最新经济展望调查褐皮书，显示美国经济扩张几乎停滞，由于利率上升以及劳动力和供应短缺的困扰，明年的经济前景总体“疲软”。数据采集自全美12个地方联储，截止日期为今年8月29日。
美联储副主席布雷纳德表示：
（1）美联储的政策利率需要进一步提高。
（2）我们需要在未来金融的背景下对央行的数字货币进行评估。未来可能会有很多稳定币，问题是是否也需要发行数字美元。
（3）加密金融系统与传统金融有着同样的风险，为新兴金融领域立法很难，但这么做非常重要。
（4）美元走强可能抑制通货膨胀。
美联储金融监管副主席巴尔表示：
（1）加密规则应该基于银行相同风险、相同活动、相同监管的原则，无论技术如何发展。
（2）一些监管机构可以解决稳定币的风险，但最好由国会采取行动。
（3）致力于降低通货膨胀。
昨日欧洲央行也是破天荒加息75基点，但是欧元冲高回落，美联储还没有加息，就是主席老调重弹的讲两句话，美元又是冲高，但是日线110.8没有收复，说明调整还是在所难免，俄罗斯去美元和英镑结算，是消息调整的信号，同时技术连续上涨也是调整夯实支撑的原因。距离美联储加息不到两个礼拜，所以市场提前炒作基本近尾声，需要夯实底部等待鞋子落地，经过前四次加息，都是应该熟悉这个走势，目前看欧洲央行加息，能否让欧元企稳吧。
楚悦辰：9.9比特币技术分析及交易参考
美联储讲话并没有太多实质内容，相反对加密币的监管提出要求，把币交所等同于证交所，把许多加密币看成证券，可能对币市合法化正规化更为有利。
技术面上看依然是一潭死水，昨天到今天依然在19500—19000之间波动，非常没有意思。也没什么好分析的，合约操作上依然参考昨天的建议。继续在19500附近保持空单的思路，下方关注18500以及17500的支撑。
日线布林线中轨下移到20200附近，当前这种行情也没什么意思，大家就每天做做合约，薅点羊毛，每单有个三五百点的利润就可以。小波动行情合约做起来还是比较容易的。
具体操作建议
19500附近空单，弱反弹20200补仓空单一次，止损20600，目标18500下破看向17500
在行情没有走出来之前任何一种分析都是对的，而且都有对的理由，但是任何一个单子都不会绝对的准确，都有风险性，所以赚钱的前提一定是做好风控。行情实时变化，策略点位仅做参考，不作为入场依据，投资有风险，盈亏自负。
每一条蚯蚓都有钻遍沃土的梦想；每一棵树苗都有长成参天大树的梦想；每一只飞蛾都有冲破茧蛹飞向天空的梦想。但梦想终究是梦想的，不去努力实践，它永远只是个不可能实现的梦而已。只有当你足够努力，你才会足够幸运。这世界不会辜负每一份努力和坚持，时光不会怠慢执着而勇敢的每一个人！心如所愿，尽力而为！不负时光，不负自己！
文/楚悦辰
来源：金色财经 |
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