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关于百家精简算牌法终于搞清楚了,整理下思绪发个贴存档吧,简单有效的流水数算牌法不需要计算真数,尽可能把复杂的逻辑简化…新靴开始统计流水数的去除效应,开局看不到的牌当0点处理,0点和9点都不参与计算流水数,每去掉一张1234点的小牌型分别计算流水数+1,每去掉一张5678大牌型分别计算流水数-1,临界点为流水数计算到-4,如果手手打流水数-4,-5,-6…投闲,越往下闲优势越大,同理流水数-3,-2,-1…以上都投庄,越往上庄优势越大,全程投注的期望值是-1.01%,比原概率全庄的-1.06%,全闲的-1.24%,整体提高了不少期望值,若想期望值更高就在流水数的临界点-4上下过滤后再下注,过滤的越多越有利,但同时过滤越多切入概率越小,过滤-4流水数不下注,切入概率95.12%,期望值是-1%,过滤-5-4-3流水数不下注,切入概率85.37%,期望值0.99%,过滤-6到-2流水数,切入概率75.66%,期望值-0.98%,过滤-7到-1流水数,切入概率66.11%,期望值-0.96%,过滤-8到0流水数,切入概率55.69%,期望值-0.95%…再往大范围过滤切入概率小于50%,太考验耐性就没必要了,知道提高期望值原理即可,有种很高级的庄闲双系统算牌法,可以计算的真数精准度相对高,但越是复杂化,人工越是无法去计算的,如能把逻辑理清后做成软件自动提示才可行,实际上精算也只是在简单算法上再提高一点优势,宏观上影响不会很大,所以只要知道简单的实用算牌就行,普遍的算牌法会把4点计算流水数+2,把6点计算流水数-2,这因为点与点的期望值不尽相同,4点会比1点优势大一倍不止,综合下来影响不会多大,过于精算不是可不可行问题,而是值不值得问题,因为百家算牌只能提高些期望值,无法改变负收益的事实,真要靠算牌达到正期望值切入,平均要500手才能切入一次,穿透率要达到95%以上,优势微弱至不值得操作,我们只需要知道原理,按简单的去掉效应统计就可以了,百家乐算牌法就是去除效应,每去掉一张牌后的概率与原概率比较得出的结论,当去掉的1234小牌越多,余下未开的牌越利庄,同理去掉的5678大牌越多,余下的牌越利闲,09不计算是因为每去掉一张庄闲都有影响,但区别都不会很大,所以大概率上可以不予计算。 0 T, D2 s/ `4 R; u) G8 }4 n
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