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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。! k# x5 d" {7 x( g5 r& V" z
3 t7 Y6 d2 \- Q" V) ^6 @0 R1 ~这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。. v8 l/ t4 y& p4 `3 x4 F' l) f* K: q
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车0 ^- U6 Q* Z$ O/ Q; ?8 B. _
1 @8 ]3 s8 Y) I6 b: s1 r; i& j1 o和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。. U) |9 ~: M, d7 O9 @
5 K; I+ M* k% s5 [, m; I5 }7 z5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛
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; J9 z$ z3 N9 b# S/ R" u市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。
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/ o6 E* D: f3 x今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能
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延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。) w3 z# J! {3 l9 w* j9 m8 O3 k
6 l& H# ]8 C9 v如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。
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( y, n: A+ y% @$ n+ I( a从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密: ^7 L: y a" U L
& w( \8 Q7 i# V, z" \, H5 {集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目0 i5 m8 _6 C. J3 O, e
8 O* U/ a. H* ? o# E; F2 ~前并无强压。
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