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[lastpost] => 2763692 华尔街把它当成宝能翻身吗？以太坊三年不涨，背后到底谁在说谎？ 1757304896 右耳
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国) G/ j& |* i$ t; ]1 b, g; g1 G
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。& I' P K( S( l7 O+ C* Y; T$ @8 ~" D
( e+ I5 `, G# T7 f. q9 O, o 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而+ A' {: m; m' y' S0 l) \2 O6 b
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“短期看空”比特币。% ]8 e. b. f5 a4 S' L+ D* d6 b- j
2 V6 B6 F& }; G! b! p “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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2 K. t4 ?( v+ \实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”, c" E+ g8 a0 v" i* x# n
) O* R+ o$ S7 u a" r1 X+ H1 h& | 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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, X. e" r" B8 u( c" ^) ~而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。6 i/ k, j [; Z( _6 K D
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BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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* l& I7 t" n* t" K “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，1 B+ A- `$ q" n2 Z* c1 s
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”; w% }$ a, q3 ?2 K; [
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