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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
. m! p. j' n. ^Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破5 \& y2 K0 @3 J* {, ^: C4 D8 Q9 N
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。! n8 g8 K5 J% x9 l$ e8 b. {
9 e1 _2 s/ B2 ]; j) Q4 Z实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。- l" U9 Z0 U# O1 n4 Y
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者+ R t& v5 i3 L, f; C& W) r, c
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。9 {. g1 s7 a8 ^; A" l
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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% y+ E1 e! x0 g: X! j. n5 K2 |大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。4 G. I. b( K0 N1 |/ k
% G9 N* |7 N) X0 g* R) O相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
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Altcoin信誉的消失法案
# n, s7 W* x+ j滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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交易的势头最近也消失了。
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。" A9 z( u# _' I5 x9 L- c7 r( K
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这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。( H8 Q# R' S8 A. v
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。7 z5 M. L5 c" e5 V$ n/ ~, Q
% {& @! M" Z; D" e8 p比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。/ m7 B+ K8 [) K+ j1 ]
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当高峰转向警告时
: ]5 {- V7 e. w+ C2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。, V; c' D" I5 S7 ^
2 z! z8 W; e% n1 `& O9 V) I这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。5 ~) j8 E3 @; Y# L4 v. R
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。0 j2 x8 R# c3 b& a( ~7 }
( {8 Y# j9 B9 _. a8 n比特币还是胸围?
1 [- W+ X' b4 o$ R8 x9 t% @# {7 t存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。/ @0 j3 F7 j) U+ o" ~/ Q
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